[情報] 五號先發爭霸戰
原文網址:http://www.blessyouboys.com/2012/1/30/2754965/jacob-turner-drew-smyly
-Tigers-rotation-2012
春訓邀請名單出好一陣子了,"現在"看來五號先發的位置應該是留給自家農場爭取
說實話DD總管說的話我越來越難相信了XD
這篇有滿詳細的介紹,其實也就是農場頭幾號新秀的排名
(年假回來公事繁忙,想翻都沒力氣了....)
After the signing of Prince Fielder to a nine year, $214 million contract,
it would appear that the Tigers have completed construction of their 2012
lineup (Yoenis Cespedes notwithstanding). One key spot on the roster,
however, remains open for discussion, and possibly open for the addition of
a veteran free agent, and that would be the fifth and final spot in the
starting rotation.
The open spot was last occupied by Brad Penny, who is now a free agent, and
who is reportedly exploring an opportunity in Japan. Penny went 11- 11 for
the Tigers in 2011 despite posting the highest ERA and the highest WHIP in
the league among all starting pitchers that qualified for the ERA title.
Rather than filling the void with a player who provides that level of
performance, one would expect the Tigers to have some of the prospects in
their own organization audition for the job in spring training.
Following is a look at the candidates who are in the Tigers organization who
might earn a job in the rotation in Detroit:
Jacob Turner:
The 20-year-old right handed pitcher is the top prospect in the Tigers
organization. On MLB.com's list of the top 100 prospects, Turner was rated
the seventh-best pitcher and the 15th overall prospect by Jonathan Mayo.
Turner is the lone righty among a bunch of lefty prospects who will audition.
Turner features a mid-90s fastball that’s pretty consistently well located
in the strike zone. His change-up and curve have been improving, but are
thought by some to be not quite there yet. The Tigers could put Turner in the
rotation just for being the most talented candidate, but I would rather see
him promoted when he is ready, rather then when there is an opening. It’s
very likely we’ll see Turner in Detroit again this summer.
Duane Below:
The 26-year-old lefty and native of Britton, Mich., split time last year
between Detroit and Toledo. As a starter with the Triple-A Mud Hens, Below
posted a 9-4 record with a 3.13 ERA and a solid 1.18 WHIP. He has good control
and was given both starting and relief assignments when called up to Detroit
last season.
In two starts and a dozen relief appearances with the Tigers, Below posted a
4.34 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP in 29 innings of work. Below could also be a
candidate for the long relief job, which is a logical spot for a lefty, with
at least four right-handers slated to be in the rotation and opposing managers
likely to stack their lineups with left-handed batters.
Adam Wilk:
Another lefty starter, age 24, who is known more for his excellent command than
he is for striking batters out. Wilk has a lower "ceiling" than most of the
top prospects in the organization, but he has the command and good enough stuff
right now to pitch in the majors either at the back of the rotation or in long
relief.
Wilk made 18 starts with Toledo in 2011, posting a 3.24 ERA and a nice 1.16
WHIP, while walking just 1.2 batters per nine innings. In Detroit, he got 13
innings of work, all in relief, and a pair of home runs got him sent back down.
Drew Smyly:
Named the Tigers minor league organization's pitcher of the year and recently
named to MLB.com’s top 100 prospects, coming in at No. 82. Smyly is another
lefty that has a full repertoire that features a fastball, cutter, curve and
changeup -- all of which are at least Major League average according to
MLB.com's David Mayo.
Smyly was the Tigers'second-round pick in the 2010 draft and is a bit more
advanced at age 22 than others, having been drafted out of college. Smyly
made 14 starts in Advanced-A Lakeland last year, putting up an impressive
2.58 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 8.6 K/9. He was then promoted to Double-A Erie,
where he posted an even more impressive line of 1.18 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and
10.4 K/9 in seven starts. Smyly is rising quickly and is not on the 40-man
roster yet, but has been invited to Lakeland because of his impressive work.
He is definitely one to watch this spring.
Andrew Oliver:
Yet another lefty starter, age 24, with whom Tiger fans are familiar because
of his work with the Tigers over the past two seasons. Oliver was a
second-round pick in the 2009 draft. He is a hard thrower with a fastball in
the the mid-90s and some nasty breaking stuff that is effective when he can
locate his pitches. Therein lies the problem.
Oliver’s time in the major leagues did not go well. He posted an ERA of 7.11
over two seasons, a 2011 walk rate of 7.4 per nine innings. He was clearly
quite nervous when things weren’t going well and was sent back to Toledo,
where things didn’t seem to improve much. He has good stuff and velocity,
which is very valuable especially for a lefty, but he’s going to have to
start finding the plate, or he will probably find himself in the bullpen
pretty soon.
Casey Crosby:
Another lefty and another second round draft pick, Crosby’s biggest challenge
has been staying healthy. He missed almost the entire 2010 season following
Tommy John surgery, but rebounded nicely in 2011with Erie. Crosby made 25
starts with an ERA of 4.10 in a hitter’s league, but the encouraging news is
that his K/9 rate was back up to a respectable 8.3.
In 2012, the Tigers probably want to see Crosby improve his command and control
and staying healthy. He had 5.3 BB/9 innings last year. He is more likely a
candidate for a mid season call up than a spot on the opening day roster, but
he should be on the radar if things go well for him. He was added to the
40-man roster in November.
David Pauley:
The "other" pitcher who was obtained along with Doug Fister from Seattle last
July is on this list because he split time between the rotation and the
bullpen in Seattle. He was more effective in relief before the Tigers got him
and that’s probably where he will stay. Pauley is a 28-year-old righty who
made 14 appearances for the Tigers in 2011, and would be a long-shot candidate
to be moved back to the rotation.
With Seattle, Pauley made 15 starts in 2010, posting an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP
of 1.31. In 2011, he was moved to the bullpen, where he made 39 relief
appearances, 54 innings, putting up a 2.15 ERA and an impressive 0.94 WHIP.
In Detroit, Pauley gave up four killer home runs in his 14 appearances, which
came mostly during games with lopsided scores, and this inflated his numbers.
Pauley should make the team, but more likely in the bullpen than the rotation.
In an interview with SiriusXM radio, Tigers CEO and GM Dave Dombrowski was
asked what alternatives the Tigers had if Turner were not given the fifth spot
in the starting rotation. Dombrowski specifically mentioned Wilk, Below, and
Smyly, as well as the possibility of signing a non-roster invitee. The typical
NRI contract is a minor league deal with incentives should the player be added
to the major league roster.
Jon Heyman of CBS sports reported that the Tigers made an offer to Roy Oswalt
of $10 million for one season, but Oswalt turned it down. The Cardinals are
now denying a rumor that they have signed Oswalt. In any case, Dombrowski has
said that it’s unlikely the Tigers would sign Oswalt.
For what it’s worth, I will now post the list of free agent starting pitchers
that are still unsigned. The only thing that this list really shows is that,
other than Oswalt or Edwin Jackson, there’s not much to get excited about.
I would rather give the guys named above an opportunity to show us what they
can do. Now, if Dombrowski could swing a trade for, say, James Shields ... OK
back to reality:
Kyle Davies, Doug Davis, Jon Garland, Rich Harden, Livan Hernandez,
Edwin Jackson, Scott Kazmir, Ross Ohlendorf, Roy Oswalt, Brad Penny,
Javier Vazquez (retiring), Brandon Webb, Chris Young, Tim Wakefield. There.
See what I mean? Bring on the kids!
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