[情報] Scouting Report: Robinson Lopez
補一些截止日前的簽約
7輪 Benjamin Wells 18歲 右投 53萬米金
9歲 Kevin Rhoderick 22歲 右投
29輪 Casey Harman 21歲 左投 15萬米金
49輪 Bryce Shafer 22歲 右投
前10輪沒沒簽下的
6輪 Ivan De Jesus 18歲 外野手
Braves prospect Robinson Lopez entered the 2010 season as a sleeper in an
organization filled with high ceiling pitching prospects. In seeing his best
professional outing where he dominated the Savannah Sand Gnats to the tune of
eight strikeouts in three innings pitched, Lopez had his potential on full
display and left a fantastic first impression. In a second outing, he wasn’
t quite as sharp, but still showed elite velocity and the ability to handle
older competition. Since that July fourth outing, Lopez has struggled
mightily seeing his peripherals drop and ERA rise. Having nearly doubled his
innings from last season, are South Atlantic League hitters making
adjustments? Or is it simply a case of Lopez withering under the heat and
humidity of a summer in the Southeast?
Physical Projection: Listed at 6’2〃, 190 lbs., he looks a couple of inches
shorter and fifteen to twenty pounds heavier in person. Evenly proportioned
throughout, he already fills out his frame pretty well. Future physical
projection will come from his ability to tighten up the size he does have, as
well as his continuing to add additional strength. However, his present size
and average athleticism lead me to believe his velocity is nearly maxed out.
Another determining factor in my feeling his velocity is nearly peaked are
his mechanics. In describing them as a little choppy due to a lack of
fluidity, Lopez’ excellent arm whip comes with added effort to counteract
his mechanical deficiencies. This leaves people I’ve talked to mixed about
whether he profiles better out of the rotation or bullpen.
Mound Presence: When things are going well, Lopez works quickly attacking
hitters with a fastball he can work on either side of the plate. He mixes in
the curveball when ahead in the count and rarely throws the changeup in game
action.
However, Lopez has significant problems working from the stretch which will
need to be ironed out. His difficulty starts in the bullpen as he completed
a full pre-game session and only threw five pitches from the stretch which
were not particularly focused. In game action, his tempo slows significantly
with men on base and he shifts focus from batter to baserunner. In one
instance, he threw over to first base three consecutive times with 20-runner
Wilmer Flores on first base. Between his mid-90′s heat and a catcher with
the best arm in minor league baseball, Lopez’ focus should have been solely
on the batter. It was a sign of immaturity.
In his second outing, he fought out of a bases loaded jam without allowing a
run showing some growth. It was a silver lining and silver lining’s are
really all that’s needed to legitimize a prospect at this level.
Fastball: The first few pitches Lopez threw were in the upper-80′s leaving
me wondering where the rumored heat was? Then, he began to climb the
velocity ladder topping out at 96 MPH. In witnessing him throw multiple
complete innings in the 93-95 MPH range, I’m very comfortable calling his
fastball velocity elite for the level. However, with this velocity comes a
lack of movement and some difficulty generating downward plane. This leaves
the pitch solid average, but impossible to call it more at this point.
Curveball: At 76-78 MPH, Lopez’ curveball is still a work in progress. At
times, the pitch showed sharp ten-to-five break with enough depth to make
batters swing-and-miss. However, it was inconsistent and bordered on being
too slurvy when he failed to release the pitch out front. This caused it to
hang too often for me to call the curveball solid average at this point.
Additionally, his utilizing the offering primarily when ahead in the count
is also a bit of a red flag. For now, I’ll call curve fringe average with
potential.
Changeup: In the bullpen, he showed good feel for the pitch with strong arm
action and arm side run. He kept the pitch down and showed enough for me to
want to see him utilize it more in game action. Any evaluator who sees Lopez
without carefully watching his changeup in the bullpen would likely dismiss
him as a reliever due to a lack of a third offering.
Going forward, Lopez is a pitcher whose game could make significant strides
with increased preparation and game experience. While I appreciated his
focus with the bases empty, his difficulty with runners on left a lasting
negative impression. For Lopez, his growth will start in the bullpen as his
preparation was sorely lacking compared to a pitcher like Tanner Bushue who
oozed professionalism. Due to Lopez’ two-pitch mix, it’s easy to project
him as a power reliever, but I feel much better about his ability to stay in
the rotation than former teammate Arodys Vizcaino. If the over/under was set
at number four starter, I’d take the over, but it would be a purely
speculative gut play.
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