The 2007 WTNY Prospect List
http://tinyurl.com/2z5fsc
34. Felix Pie, 23, CF, Chicago Cubs
2006 Stats (AAA): .283/.341/.451, 17 SB in 559 AB
Baseball Prospectus' Nate Silver said it best when he noted that Pie "has
gone from being an overrated prospect to an overlooked one." Pie, weeks from
becoming the Cubs' center fielder in 2005, suffered a hamstring injury that
cut his breakout season short. His stock went bearish in 2006 after a May and
June when he combined to bat .226, successfully stealing just 1-for-8 on the
basepaths. Pie rebounded at the start of July, and the BP projection system
has chosen to believe his second-half performance. "PECOTA sees Pie
developing into a .290/.350/.500 player within a couple of years, with plus
defense in center field."
http://tinyurl.com/29an22
47. Donald Veal, 22, LHP, Chicago Cubs
2006 Stats (A-/A+): 2.16 ERA, 91H/154.1IP, 174K/82BB
One of the most interesting statistics tracked at The Hardball Times is LOB
percentage, a number that tracks the rate that pitchers strand baserunners.
It has been found that a great deal of LOB percentage is luck, so a high
figure usually means a pitcher is either very good or very lucky (or both)
and a low number means the opposite. In the site's three years of data, just
seven pitchers have logged seasons above 80 percent, including Jake Peavy,
Roger Clemens and Johan Santana. Veal, in A-ball last season, had an 83.7 LOB
percentage, which indicates his fantastic dominance but also hints toward
some regression in the future. A flame-thrower, Veal could assuage all
concerns about luck with an improved walk rate in 2007.
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