[閒聊] 日版 平和魔神酒廠 大樣本統計
手機排版請見諒
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這次酒廠一出就有許多關於機率是否調降的疑慮
當然包含我自己也是
於是就想說等樣本數夠了之後來統整
以下統計有發抽卡文的版友(推文內不採計)
david3809
SSR 1
SR 9
29抽
alanhwung
SSR 1
SR 3
15抽
forsakesheep
SSR 0
SR 3
21抽
graywater
SSR 0
SR 2
14抽
Endcfw(兩篇合計)
SSR 4
SR 20
90抽
a389102000
SSR 9
SR 19
90抽
fantasycat
SSR 7
SR 21
73抽
kaitouGamer
SSR 3
SR 1
12抽
chopper0424
SSR 4
SR 3
21抽
eggroll23
SSR 1
SR 3
21抽
pete0521
SSR 1
SR 3
10抽
akevin
SSR 8
SR 19
90抽
Masqurin(兩篇合計)
SSR 6
SR 8
49抽
k1230588
SSR 0
SR 0
15抽
deerchan
由於未提供SR數據故不採計
kururukr
SSR 7
SR 8
33抽
andy30927
SSR 4
SR4
21抽
errantry34
SSR 3
SR 4
10抽
aprilfools
SSR 2
SR 4
16抽
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總計626抽
SSR 61/626=9.7%
SR 135/626=21.5%
以結果論來說SSR機率離公告7%沒差多少
可以說算是沒有意圖坑人啦...
以上簡單整理僅供參考
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推
04/26 03:04, , 1F
04/26 03:04, 1F
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04/26 03:06, , 2F
04/26 03:06, 2F
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04/26 04:05, , 3F
04/26 04:05, 3F
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04/26 04:05, , 4F
04/26 04:05, 4F
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04/26 04:19, , 5F
04/26 04:19, 5F
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04/26 04:19, , 6F
04/26 04:19, 6F
修正一下
是沒有意圖用機率坑人
但是pu就..........
※ 編輯: david3809 (1.115.199.98), 04/26/2015 04:27:46
推
04/26 07:27, , 7F
04/26 07:27, 7F
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04/26 08:39, , 8F
04/26 08:39, 8F
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04/26 08:41, , 9F
04/26 08:41, 9F
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04/26 08:48, , 10F
04/26 08:48, 10F
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04/26 08:50, , 11F
04/26 08:50, 11F
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04/26 08:56, , 12F
04/26 08:56, 12F
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04/26 09:08, , 13F
04/26 09:08, 13F
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04/26 09:09, , 14F
04/26 09:09, 14F
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04/26 09:13, , 15F
04/26 09:13, 15F
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04/26 09:13, , 16F
04/26 09:13, 16F
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04/26 10:13, , 17F
04/26 10:13, 17F
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04/26 11:11, , 18F
04/26 11:11, 18F
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04/26 11:36, , 19F
04/26 11:36, 19F
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04/26 11:40, , 20F
04/26 11:40, 20F
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04/26 11:40, , 21F
04/26 11:40, 21F
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04/26 12:12, , 22F
04/26 12:12, 22F
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04/26 12:14, , 23F
04/26 12:14, 23F
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04/26 12:42, , 24F
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04/26 12:42, , 25F
04/26 12:42, 25F
這次樣本我也覺得普通跟法老算各半
臉黑的加進來我想也不會改變「機率沒有被調」這個結論
我也只是想知道以上結論是否正確
要精確數據的話我想不太可能辦到啊....................
※ 編輯: david3809 (1.115.194.48), 04/26/2015 13:00:45
噓
04/26 13:08, , 26F
04/26 13:08, 26F
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04/26 13:09, , 27F
04/26 13:09, 27F
假設法老的SSR機率約10% 普通人7% 臉黑用以前的4%來算
就算目前都沒算到所謂臉黑的樣本好了
臉黑加上去不也只是平衡回7%而已嗎
況且目前樣本數夠大
光是9.7%要降到7%就要多將近300抽沒SSR
連續這麼多抽沒SSR機率不高吧(就算是很多人的累積起來)
※ 編輯: david3809 (1.115.194.248), 04/26/2015 13:31:24
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04/26 13:48, , 28F
04/26 13:48, 28F
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04/26 13:48, , 29F
04/26 13:48, 29F
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04/26 13:49, , 30F
04/26 13:49, 30F
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04/26 13:50, , 31F
04/26 13:50, 31F
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04/26 13:53, , 32F
04/26 13:53, 32F
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04/26 13:53, , 33F
04/26 13:53, 33F
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04/26 14:04, , 34F
04/26 14:04, 34F
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04/26 14:08, , 35F
04/26 14:08, 35F
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04/26 14:14, , 36F
04/26 14:14, 36F
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04/26 14:14, , 37F
04/26 14:14, 37F
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04/26 15:01, , 38F
04/26 15:01, 38F
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04/26 15:06, , 39F
04/26 15:06, 39F
把圖刪掉應該就可以了吧?
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04/26 15:06, , 40F
04/26 15:06, 40F
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04/26 15:16, , 41F
04/26 15:16, 41F
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04/26 15:16, , 42F
04/26 15:16, 42F
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04/26 15:19, , 43F
04/26 15:19, 43F
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04/26 15:52, , 44F
04/26 15:52, 44F
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04/26 15:55, , 45F
04/26 15:55, 45F
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04/26 15:55, , 46F
04/26 15:55, 46F
※ 編輯: david3809 (126.186.131.251), 04/26/2015 16:59:38
※ 編輯: david3809 (126.186.131.251), 04/26/2015 17:00:41
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04/26 19:46, , 47F
04/26 19:46, 47F
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04/26 19:47, , 48F
04/26 19:47, 48F
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04/26 22:50, , 49F
04/26 22:50, 49F
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04/26 22:56, , 50F
04/26 22:56, 50F
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04/26 23:08, , 51F
04/26 23:08, 51F
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04/26 23:22, , 52F
04/26 23:22, 52F
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04/28 01:00, , 53F
04/28 01:00, 53F
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04/28 01:02, , 54F
04/28 01:02, 54F