[情報] John Sickels 2013 Top 20 prospects
http://tinyurl.com/brs9g9v
St. Louis Cardinals Top 20 Prospects for 2013
1) Oscar Taveras, OF, Grade A: One of the easiest grades in the book.
Outstanding hitter for power and average, and he improved his baserunning and
defense. Next great Cardinals star? Seems like it to me.
2) Shelby Miller, RHP, Grade A: Terrific second half of the season saved his
A rating from last year. Still looks like a rotation anchor to me, just needs
to stay healthy.
3) Carlos Martinez, RHP, Grade A-: Borderline B+: Still has some rough edges
but he made enough progress that I'm comfortable bumping him up a notch. Like
Miller, he can be a top of the rotation guy if he avoids injury. He's moved
very quickly and if I were the Cardinals I think I would slow things down a
little and avoid bringing him to the majors in 2013 unless nobody else is
available.
4) Trevor Rosenthal, RHP, Grade B+: Borderline A-: Another very live arm who
could pitch at the top of the rotation eventually, or perhaps become a power
closer.
5) Michael Wacha, RHP, Grade B+: Exceeded expectations in pro ball, granted
the sample is small, but still. . .40/4 K/BB in 21 innings? Dang. I thought
he was a future number three starter, but if he maintains the uptick in
velocity he showed in pro ball, he's another guy you can build the rotation
around.
6) Kolten Wong, 2B, Grade B: Solid but unspectacular season in Double-A, with
his defense looking quite good and a decent hitting line. Looked good to me
in Arizona Fall League. I still see him as a future regular second baseman
who hits for average, gets on base, and provides a steady glove.
7) Matt Adams, 1B, Grade B: Poorly-timed injury, but he destroyed Triple-A
pitching and given his track record I think he will eventually adapt to the
majors. Like Wong, I don't see him as a star, but rather as a solid regular.
8) Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, Grade B-: His upside is as high as the guys above
him, but injuries and command problems short-circuited him in Low-A.
Disappointing, but the talent is still here.
9) Anthony Garcia, OF, Grade B-: I absolutely do not understand why this guy
doesn't get more press. His power is very real, and even marginal
improvements in the strike zone would result in a huge breakout. Crushed
Low-A pitching.
10) Carson Kelly, 3B, Grade B-: Highest-ceiling and youngest of the third
basemen drafted in 2012 by the Cards. Will also take the most time to
develop. Needs more patience and defensive work. Profile is similar to
Diamondbacks prospect Matt Davidson at the same stage of his career.
11) Patrick Wisdom, 3B, Grade B-: Excellent glove, and he hit better in the
New York-Penn League than he did in college. Expect power and patience, we'll
have to see about the batting average.
12) Stephen Piscotty, 3B, Grade B-: Nice solid line drive hitter, but he
doesn't have Wisdom's glove nor Kelly's pure upside. That's a problem, since
Piscotty's bat won't look as good in the outfield or at first base unless he
boosts home run production.
13) Greg Garcia, 2B-SS, Grade C+: Wong's double play partner at Springfield
is a strong yet overlooked prospect in his own right with very sound on-base
skills. Stretched at shortstop, he's better at second base but that's Wong's
position.
14) Seth Maness, RHP, Grade C+: Truly outstanding command helps mediocre
velocity play up. Seems like he can be a sound inning-eater to me, or at
worst an attractive trade chit for another team.
15) John Gast, LHP, Grade C+: A good arm from the left side, but erratic
with his command and more likely to fit in the bullpen than the rotation for
St. Louis.
16) Starlin Rodriguez, 2B, Grade C+: Another overlooked prospect who would
get a lot more attention if he played in a weaker farm system. Good fielder,
hit for average with some pop, strong performance in High-A. Good showing in
Double-A will get him on the conveyer belt towards an opportunity of Wong
doesn't pan out.
17) Ryan Jackson, SS, Grade C+: Very sound defensive player and can surprise
you with his hitting at times. If you really need a shortstop, you could do a
lot worse than just sticking Jackson in the lineup, hit him low in the order,
and enjoy his fundamental play. More value for a real team than a fantasy
one.
18) Maikel Cleto, RHP, Grade C+: Gotta respect the arm strength. Will he ever
throw strikes well enough for the 100 MPH fastball to matter?
19) Tyler Lyons, LHP, Grade C+: Sleeper prospect who has more talent and
pitched better than his 4.00+ ERA in Triple-A indicates. Would be a sneaky
rotation candidate for some teams due to strike-throwing ability, but he gets
lost in the crowd here.
20) Breyvic Valera, INF, Grade C+: Another sound infielder, this one
advancing to Low-A for 2013. Hits for average, defense is promising at second
base, could develop more power than people expect.
OTHER GRADE C+: Tim Cooney, LHP; Victor De Leon, RHP; James Ramsey, OF; Boone
Whiting, RHP
OTHERS: Steve Bean, C; Michael Blazek, RHP; Keith Butler, RHP; Adron
Chambers, OF; Victor De Leon, RHP; Adam Ehrlich, C; Eric Fornataro, RHP; Sam
Freeman, LHP; Silfredo Garcia, RHP; Sam Gaviglio, RHP; Pete Kozma, SS: Jake
Lemmerman, INF; Dixon Llorrens, RHP; C.J. McElroy, OF; Mike O'Neill, OF;
Jorge Rondon, RHP; Kevin Siegrist, LHP; Lee Stoppelman, LHP; Jordan Swagerty,
RHP; Charlie Tilson, OF; Colin Walsh, OF-INF
What can you say? This is one hell of a farm system. There is impact talent.
There are future stars. And there are a lot of guys who project as solid role
players to back them up.
The pitching. . .you have four guys in Miller, Martinez, Rosenthal, and
Wacha who could be and should be rotation anchors. Jenkins has that kind of
talent too, if he can refine it. There is a ton of pitching behind them, with
a good mixture of strike-throwers (Maness, Lyons, Boone Whiting) and guys
with hot arms. The Cardinals should never want for good relief pitching, and
if even if some of the top guys get hurt or don't pan out, one of the
efficiency experts could step in.
As history shows (Oakland's Four Aces, Generation K of the Mets, the Royals a
couple of years ago), having a great batch of pitching prospects is no
guarantee of success. There will be injury attrition, and someone will be a
disappointment. But the point is to gather as many pitchers as possible to
provide depth to cover for the inevitable failures, and the Cardinals are
masters at doing this.
But the Cardinals also have lots of hitting to go with the pitching. Taveras
will be a star, Wong and Adams look like regulars, and there are a bunch of
guys who should be role players or strong contributors at least. The 2012
draft brought in additional bats, with particular depth at third base. If
those guys thrive in 2013, this list will still look strong next year even if
the top guys graduate.
Overall, this is an amazing system, a prospect factory. They find guys at
big colleges, they find guys at small colleges, they find guys in junior
college, they find and develop high school guys, they find and develop Latin
American guys. They do everything.
有請Rasmus大大講解,剛好看到的,就貼上來了
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