[分享] Top 50 Hitting Prospects from 2007: …
※ [本文轉錄自 Baseball 看板 #1EXW45dN ]
作者: chemikelvin (我們要奮戰不懈) 看板: Baseball
標題: [分享] Top 50 Hitting Prospects from 2007: In Review
時間: Sat Oct 1 01:48:50 2011
by John Sickels on Sep 26, 2011 11:30 AM EDT
TOP 50 HITTING PROSPECTS FOR 2007
1) Alex Gordon, 3B, Royals: Finally lived up to his potential this year,
hitting .303/.376/.502, WAR 6.4. Career WAR is 11.1 with a .262/.343/.434 line.
He is now the player we thought he would be, and a good example of why it takes
so long to see how a prospect list really turns out.
2) Delmon Young, OF, Rays: Flashes talent, but the Rays gave up fast and then
the Twins did. Career .287/.320/.425, WAR 1.5. At age 26 he still has time to
correct his flaws, namely plate discipline.
3) Brandon Wood, SS, Angels: One of the biggest prospect failures of the last
20 years. Undone by inability to make contact. .186/.225/.289, WAR -2.6.
4) Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Rockies: Brilliant in all respects, career
.293/.364/.505, WAR 24.9.
5) Andy LaRoche, 3B, Dodgers: Back injuries a big issue here, and he just never
got his bat going. Career .226/.305/.337, WAR 1.0.
6) Ryan Braun, 3B, Brewers: Monster bat. Career .312/.370/.563, WAR 24.8.
7) Billy Butler, OF, Royals: Steady producer, career .297/.359/.457, WAR 6.4. I
think the best is yet to come here.
8) Chris Young, OF, Diamondbacks: Doesn't hit for average, but does everything
else. Career .239/.318/.437, 104 steals, WAR 12.9.
9) Jay Bruce, OF, Reds: Career .256/.331/.473, 99 homers, WAR 11.1. As with
Butler, I think the best is yet to come here.
10) Justin Upton, OF, Diamondbacks: Career .277/.358/.489, WAR 14.9, already
excellent and has some MVP seasons in him.
11) Hunter Pence, OF, Astros: Another consistent producer, career
.292/.342/.485, WAR 19.2.
12) Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pirates: Continues to improve steadily. Career
.278/.366/.460, 78 steals, WAR 13.0
13) Reid Brignac, SS, Rays: Not much with the bat. .229/.271/.324 so far, WAR
0.3. At the time his glove was considered questionable, but that's turned out
to be better than his offense.
14) Evan Longoria, 3B, Rays: Career .273/.357/.512, WAR 25.7. Nothing to
complain about here, excellent source of power and a great glove.
15) Adam Lind, OF, Blue Jays: Up and down career, strong season in 2009. Career
.268/.318/.468, 4.7 WAR.
16) Cameron Maybin, OF, Tigers: Very strong glovework, bat power disappointing
but has stolen 38 bases this year. Career .253/.316/.384, WAR 6.4.
17) Fernando Martinez, OF, Mets: Still stuck on Triple-A/major cusp, injuries
have hampered him, bat just hasn't developed and can't use "young for league"
as excuse anymore. .183/.250/.290 in 145 major league at-bats, WAR -0.7.
18) Jose Tabata, OF, Yankees: Still finding his way, career .284/.348/.383 in
823 PA, WAR 3.1. Still just 23 years old.
19) James Loney, 1B, Dodgers: Has held his job despite lack of typical first
base power. Career .288/.346/.432, WAR 8.2.
20) Travis Snider, OF, Blue Jays: Needs a change of scenery. Career
.248/.307/.423, WAR 1.8.
At age 23, way too soon to give up on him.
21) Jacoby Ellsbury, OF, Red Sox: Massive power burst this year leads to
MVP-caliber (WAR 9.2) season. Career .301/.355/.451, 174 steals, WAR 17.1.
22) Felix Pie, OF, Cubs: Career .249/.298/.374, WAR -0.1. Never figured out how
to turn his tools into skills.
23) Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Diamondbacks: Bounced around a bit, but figured out
how to use his tools. Career .298/.350/.521, WAR 14.1.
24) Colby Rasmus, OF, Cardinals: Strong '10 season but disappointing this year.
Career .252/.324/.435, WAR 7.9. I think he'll be fine.
25) Chris Iannetta, C, Rockies: Not a terrific hitter, but a useful player.
Career .235/.357/.431, WAR 9.6.
26) Ian Stewart, 3B, Rockies: Has shown some power, but overall rather
disappointing. Career .236/.323/.428, WAR 3.5.
27) Elvis Andrus, SS, Braves: Still finding his way offensively, but he's going
to have a very long career. .270/.339/.342, 100 steals, 10.1 WAR so far.
28) Adam Jones, OF, Mariners: Strike zone problems remain an issue, but still
young enough to take a leap forward. Career .275/.319/.436, 44 steals, 8.9 WAR.
WAR 9.8, took a big step forward this year.
30) Eric Campbell, INF, Braves: Career stalled out due to injuries and
disciplinary issues. Hasn't reached the majors.
31) Bill Rowell, 3B, Orioles: Bat stalled out in High-A. Never lived up to
glowing scouting reports from early in his career.
32) Brian Barton, OF, Indians: Hit .268/.354/.392 with 1.1 WAR in 82 games on
the Cardinals bench in 2008, but hasn't received another chance.
33) Travis Buck, OF, Athletics: Solid rookie performance in 2007 but then
assaulted by injuries, devolved into extra outfielder role. Career
.246/.320/.408, WAR 2.7.
34) Jarrod Saltalamacchia, C, Braves: Didn't turn into the hitter expected by
scouts. Career .245/.308/.407, WAR 3.3.
35) Joey Votto, 1B, Reds: Consistently excellent with the bat and was
underrated here, I thought he would be solid but he turned into a star. Career
.314/.406/.551, WAR 22.7.
36) Eric Patterson, 2B, Cubs: Useful speed with 35 steals in 575 plate
appearances, but otherwise weak with the bat, .217/.294/.343, WAR -0.7.
37) Sean Rodriguez, INF, Angels: Not a great hitter, but useful due to glove.
Career .229/.306/.367, but 4.4 WAR.
38) Chris Parmelee, OF, Twins: Could play regularly for the Twins in 2012.
Solid in Double-A this year and has hit .343/.421/.537 in his first 18 major
league games.
39) Chris Marrero, OF, Nationals: Like Parmelee, he is just now getting a major
league shot, hitting .265/.292/.316 in his first 28 games. We don't know how it
will pan out yet.
40) Kevin Kouzmanoff, 3B, Padres: Hit for power, glove better than expected,
but held back by strike zone issues. Career .255/.300/.419, 85 homers, 10.9 WAR.
41) Carlos Gomez, OF, Mets: Outstanding glove, but he can't hit a lick. Career
.243/.290/.355, 93 steals, WAR 6.5.
42) Elijah Dukes, OF, Rays: A tragic waste of talent. Hit .242/.349/.421, WAR
2.6, but could have been a star if not for off-field issues.
43) Josh Fields, 3B, White Sox: Good power, 34 homers in 796 plate appearances,
but contact problems crippled his chances. Career .234/.303/.421, WAR -0.1.
44) Ryan Sweeney, OF, White Sox: Has held a job despite complete lack of power
development. Career .283/.342/.378, WAR 7.1.
45) Daric Barton, 1B, Athletics: Puzzling player, on-base skills looked strong
in '09 and '10 but he hasn't put it together, lacks power. Career
.252/.362/.378, WAR 7.2.
46) Dustin Pedroia, 2B, Red Sox: I remember people telling me I was overrating
him by putting him here, but it turned out this actually sold him short. Career
.304/.372/.462, 82 steals, WAR 25.5.
47) Nolan Reimold, OF, Orioles: Good at times, injuries have been a problem.
Career .256/.338/.437, WAR 2.0.
48) Jeff Clement, C, Mariners: Had to move off catcher, injuries an issue,
strikeouts, lots of things went wrong here. .223/.281/.383 in 397 PA, -0.2 WAR.
49) Brad Snyder, OF, Indians: Topped out in Triple-A. Hit .167 in 37 major
league PA. Contact problems the main factor.
50) Chin-Lung Hu, SS, Dodgers: Just couldn't hit major league pitching,
overriding any value from his glove. Career .176/.225/.259 in 214 PA, WAR -0.9.
for several players included plate discipline/contact issues and injuries. The
Top 30 are a lot more impressive than the bottom 30, although the second-best
player on the list according to WAR, Dustin Pedroia, was low at 46.
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