[閒聊] John Sickels Top 20 Prospects for 2011
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Toronto Blue Jays Top 20 Prospects for 2011
1) Kyle Drabek, RHP, Grade A-: Borderline B+. Looks like he's going to be a
workhorse and possibly more.
2) Brett Lawrie, 2B, Grade B+: I have liked him as a hitter since he was in
high school. I still see him as more of a right fielder than a second
baseman, but if he can manage to stick there he could be a Jeff Kent type.
3) Deck McGuire, RHP, Grade B+: I don't expect that he'll need a lot of minor
league time. Number three starter type at worst and could be more.
4) Zach Stewart, RHP, Grade B+: His stock has dropped a little, but I still
like him. If he can't cut it as a starter he can close.
5) Asher Wojciechowski, RHP, Grade B: You can make a case for B+, but I want
to see some additional pro data. I like him a lot, and this is another guy
who should be a solid starter at worst.
6) Carlos Perez, C, Grade B: I like the balance of offensive and defensive
skills. Very young, will have to avoid Young Catcher Stagnation Syndrome.
Grade is aggressive.
7) Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Grade B: Aggressive grade for a high school arm, but I
really like his projectability and his stuff is already strong. Also has
high-K, high-ground ball profile in the early data.
8) J.P. Arencibia, C, Grade B-. Power is genuine, but I don't buy a high
batting average or OBP. Grade changed from B to B- at press time.
9) Travis D'Arnaud, C, Grade B-: Strong glove, but I think people are
overrating his bat. Young enough to improve that.
10) Anthony Gose, OF, Grade B-: I realize other people will think this is too
low. I respect his athleticism and potential, but the risk of failure is high
enough for me to be a little wary.
11) Eric Thames, OF, Grade B-: I believe in his power.
12) Noah Syndergaard, RHP, Grade B-: Another high school power arm that I
like a lot.
13) Dickie Joe Thon, SS, Grade B-: Speculative grade based on tools and
scouting reports. Could be much higher (or lower) next year.
14) Kellen Sweeney, 3B, Grade B-: Good plate discipline and I think he sticks
at third. Power??
15) Griffin Murphy, LHP, Grade B-: Solid high school lefty from the 2010
draft.
16) Jake Marisnick, OF, Grade C+: Others will rank him higher due to his
excellent tools, but I don't buy into the bat yet.
17) Chad Jenkins, RHP, Grade C+: Looks like a workhorse strike-thrower, will
need to step forward in '11 to avoid getting buried by influx of new arms.
18) Adeiny Hechavarria, SS, Grade C+: Like the glove. The bat...well, I'll
wait and see on that.
19) Marcus Knecht, OF, Grade C+: Good balance of tools, skills may need some
time but I like his power.
20) Henderson Alvarez, RHP, Grade C+: Like Jenkins, a guy who throws strikes
but needs a good year to stay in the picture.
21) Drew Hutchison, RHP, Grade C+: Overlooked strike-thrower from 2009 draft.
22) Joel Carreno, RHP, Grade C+: Excellent K/IP and K/BB in the Florida State
League, older for the level but just added to 40-man.
23) Alan Farina, RHP, Grade C+: Intriguing relief sleeper to watch.
24) Justin Nicolino, LHP, Grade C+: Yet another arm from the 2010 draft.
OTHERS: Kevin Ahrens, 3B; Adonis Cardona, RHP; David Cooper, 1B; Sam Dyson,
RHP; Brad Emaus, INF; Christopher Hawkins, 3B; K.C. Hobson, 1B; Brian
Jeroloman, C; A.J. Jimenez, C; Darin Mastroianni, OF; Mike McDade, 1B; Brad
Mills, LHP; Gustavo Pierre, SS; Moises Sierra, OF; Mitchell Taylor, LHP;
Daniel Webb, RHP.
The huge influx of talent from the 2010 draft is immediately felt here.
Grading some of these guys is tough given the limited professional data
available, but I tried to find a balance. The collection of pitching is
especially impressive, though keep in mind that injury attrition will
eventually take a toll. There is also depth in catching.
They could use a few more impact bats. I'm a big fan of Thames. Tools
outfielders Gose, Marisnick, and Knecht are all interesting for different
reasons. Gose has the highest upside but also has a high risk of failure. I
have similar qualms about Marisnick, but both are young enough to prove the
doubts misplaced. Cuban shortstop import Hechavarria is similar; he could be
good and can field, but has a long way to go with the bat.
This system could look even better a year from now as we get a better read on
the '10 draft class and the mass of B-/C+ types. If the tools guys can learn
to hit, look out.
AA老大把農場弄得比較有搞頭了~~~~
GOOD JOB！
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