[農場] John Sickels: Thinking about Chris C …
原文：http://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/9/4/607503/thinking-about-chris-carte
不好意思，沒有足夠的時間全文翻譯，
希望有熱心人士能幫忙補完，這篇只有快速翻一些重點..
Chris Carter was drafted in the 15th round by the White Sox out of high
school in Las Vegas in 2005. He hit .286/.350/.485 with 10 homers for
Bristol in the Appy League in 2005 after signing. His defense at third
base drew very mixed reviews, many projecting a move to first base
eventually, and his plate discipline was shaky. I gave him a Grade C in
the 2006 book, noting his power potential but that he had work to do.
Carter在05年，以第15輪從拉斯維加斯的高中被選上，他在Appy聯盟打出
.286/.350/.486和10隻全壘打的成績，他守三壘，許多人覺得最終會移往一壘。
他的本壘版紀律有點抖，06年的書中，給了C的評價。
Promoted to Great Falls in the Pioneer League in 2006, Carter hit
.299/.398/.570. A brief trial in the Sally League went poorly due to
excessive strikeouts, but he looked good in the Pioneer, doubling
his walk rate compared to 2005. I raised him to Grade C+, noting his
long-term power potential but being concerned about his batting
average against better pitching. He was a first baseman by the end
of this season.
06年升到先鋒聯盟，打出.299/.398/.570，比05年的保送多了一倍。
提昇他的評價到C+，擔心他對上更好投手時，打擊率會下修。
季末時變成一壘手。
Carter hit .291/.333/.532 with 25 homers, 67 walks, and 112 strikeouts
in 467 at-bats for Kannapolis in the Sally League in 2007. As you know,
he was traded to Arizona then on to Oakland over the winter. I gave him
a Grade B+ in the 2008 book, due to the rapid improvement in his strike
zone judgment.
07年在莎莉聯盟，在467個打數，繳出 .291/.383(原文打.333)/.532，25隻全壘打、
67次保送和112次三振，眾所皆知，被交易到響尾蛇再到綠帽。
因為他改善了對好球帶的判斷，給了他B+的分數。
2008 has been interesting. Carter hit .259/.361/.569 with 39 homers,
77 walks, and 156 strikeouts in 506 at-bats for Stockton in the
California League. HIs strikeout rate shot way up compared to 2007,
but he maintained a high walk rate, and obviously the power production
is impressive. I'd still maintain him as a B+/B prospect heading into
the off-season, but there are some issues here we need to examine.
Carter 08年在加州聯盟的506個打數，打出.259/.361/.569、39全壘打、77個
保送和156次三振。他的三振率比07年飆高，但也保持高保送比率，和明顯地長打
產量。依然維持B+/B的評價，不過有幾點值得來探討看看。
First, at age 21 Carter is still quite young. He has "old player's skills"...
power, plate discipline, high strikeouts, and players like that often
peak early and then fade. But even accounting for that, he is likely
3-4 years away from his skill peak.
首先，Carter才21歲，還相當年輕。他有著老式球員的技巧，長打、本壘版紀律、
高三振率，並且球員通常早洩(@@早期達到巔峰，然後就衰退)，即使如此，他可能
還有三到四年才達到巔峰狀態。
Two, defense. This looks like it is a big problem. Carter got in 41 games
at third base this year, fielding .837 with a 1.88 range factor,
obviously unacceptable. At first base he posted a .974 fielding
percentage and made 10 errors in 40 games. In the outfield he got
into 14 games in right field, with a .909 fielding percentage and a
0.71 range factor. If this doesn't spell born DH I don't know what does.
第二，防守是個大問題。今年，三壘守了41場，.837守備率和1.88的RF...
一壘守了40場，.974守備率和10次失誤...
右外野站了14場，.909的守備率和0.71RF
如果這不是生來當DH的，不知道還能怎樣。
(沒在怕得....我們都有神奇傑克了 :p)
Third, strikeouts. I am not overly paranoid about strikeouts, especially
if the player in question also draws walks. But 156 in 137 games is
excessive, and at this point I have to very much wonder how much contact
he will make against better pitching. The caveat here is that Carter
HAS shown the ability to make adjustments before, developing much better
place discipline at higher levels than he showed in rookie ball. And
given his youth, I am reasonably confident in his ability to adjust.
第三，三振問題。不是特別偏執於三振上面，特別是也能凹到保送的球員。
不過137場比賽有156次三振，有點超過，現階段我得懷疑，他遇上更好的投手時，
確實擊中球的程度會是如何，值得注意的是，Carter之前展現過調整適應的能力，
在更高階的比賽中，發展出比新人聯盟時更好的本壘版紀律，以他還年輕的狀況，
有理由相信他有能力做出調整。
All told, Carter is highly intiguing and one of the best power hitters
in the minors. But I want to see what he does in Double-A before going
higher than B+, and even a B+ assumes he will adjust and hit enough to
be a DH in the majors. You can make a good case that he should be a plain B.
Carter是小聯盟中，極度有趣而且最佳長打球員之一，在給B+更高的分數之前，
想先看他在2A表現得如何，而且，即使是B+的評價，已經是假定他會做出調適，
並且足以在大聯盟擔綱DH。
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