福留孝介成績推估

看板Asian-MLB作者Anakin (Anakin)時間16年前 (2007/12/14 16:30)推噓2(2推 0噓 4→)

留言6則, 4人參與討論串1/1

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=699 PECOTA PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS BA OBP SLG EqA VORP WARP 465 80 30 4 15 58 70 94 9 3 .289 .401 .504 .303 29.2 4.4 http://lanaheimangelfan.blogspot.com/2007/11/kosuke-fukudome.html CHONE 這是11月11日做的。他推估的打擊三圍是283/373/465，因為前一年出賽數少的關係，推估出來的打席數只有四百多，如果擴張到600的打席的話，大約有 112次三振，69次保送，38支二壘安打四支三壘安打，16支全壘打。這大約是Bobby Abreu, JD Drew, Milton Bradley 這類球員的成績。 "At 16 runs per 600 PA above average hitting, +1 for defense, -5 for position, and +17 to compare with replacement level, he's a +2.9 win player. Worth about 45 million over 4 years." http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/cubs_signed_fukudome/ http://0rz.tw/733s9 ZIPS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB BA OBP SLG OPS+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Projection 457 66 134 33 2 13 67 64 100 1 .293 .382 .460 114 2009? 444 66 129 33 1 14 66 59 93 2 .291 .376 .464 113 2010? 386 57 108 26 1 10 57 55 85 2 .280 .372 .430 104 2011? 327 45 90 20 0 8 50 43 72 1 .275 .362 .410 97 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Opt. (15%) 537 91 170 42 3 19 87 87 95 4 .317 .415 .512 135 Pes. (15%) 376 46 98 25 0 8 45 44 86 0 .262 .341 .391 87 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top Comps: Jay Johnstone, Dixie Walker -- Tribe Fan In Taiwan http://anakinlai.blogspot.com/ -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.230.182.50

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Roshiel

12/14 19:16, , 1^F

12/14 19:16, 1^F

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IndyPacers

12/14 21:12, , 2^F

12/14 21:12, 2^F

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Anakin

12/14 21:21, , 3^F

12/14 21:21, 3^F